Nate Silver, the best political numbers-cruncher in the business, sees only one chance in 20 that Republican challenger  Jim Oberweis will unseat Democratic incumbent Sen. Dick Durbin of Illinois in the November election.


Silver also rates Republicans as a “slight favorite” to win control of the Senate. Beltway pundits generally give the GOP a more likely chance to take over the upper chamber of Congress.


But, of course, the election is still more than seven months away. Lots of things can change over that span of time.


Silver’s latest forecast is HERE.


When FiveThirtyEight last issued a U.S. Senate ...

Read more

Nate Silver, the best political numbers-cruncher in the business, sees only one chance in 20 that Republican challenger  Jim Oberweis will unseat Democratic incumbent Sen. Dick Durbin of Illinois in the November election.

Silver also rates Republicans as a “slight favorite” to win control of the Senate. Beltway pundits generally give the GOP a more likely chance to take over the upper chamber of Congress.

But, of course, the election is still more than seven months away. Lots of things can change over that span of time.

Silver’s latest forecast is HERE.

When FiveThirtyEight last issued a U.S. Senate ...

Read more